| Topic(s) | Slides | Extended Notes |
Summary |
Week |
| Topics 1 and 2
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Aims, Outline, Data Types, Minimum-Distance Data Fitting, OLS |
Week 1
|
| Topic 3
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| MDE continued: LAD, LQD. Algebraic Results under A1. FWL etc |
Week 2
|
| Topic 4
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| A2 assumption: Linear, Additively Nonlinear, etc. Sampling Error Vectors. |
Week 2
|
| Topic 5
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| A3: Experimental vs Observational Data. Nonstochastic vs Stochastic Regressors. |
Weeks 2,3
|
| . |
. |
. |
A3F, A3Rmi, A3Rsru. Exogeneity: Strong and Weak. Bias. GMM |
. |
| Topic 6
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Caveats about Population Moments. Sphericity - A4GM(iid) vs Nonsphericity A4Omega. |
Weeks 3,4
|
| . |
. |
. |
GM1 and GM2/Aitken Theorems. IGLS and FGLS |
. |
| Topic 7
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| True Error population distribution: A5. BLUE under Classic Scenario 1 and Generalized Scenario 2. |
Weeks 4,5
|
| .
| .
| .
| A5Gaussianity and BUE. MLE. NLRM and ANLRM Theorems |
.
|
| Topics 8 and 9
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Inference Aims: CI, Prediction, HT. Inference in Classic and Generalized NLRM. DGP vs MAFE/MAFE+ |
Week 7
|
| Topic 10
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| NLRM vs ANLRM. A=Approximate for large S vs A=Asymptotic for infinite S. CUAN. |
Week 8
|
| Topic 11
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Exact and Approximate SEV for Analytic Estimators. ANLRM, Taylor Expansions, and other Asymptotic. |
Week 8
|
| Topic 12
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Inference Aim 3: Hypotheses Testing. NLRM and ANLRM. The Trinity of Test Procedures. |
Week 9
|
| Topic 13
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Six Leading Cases of HT: Overview and Analytics. |
Week 9
|
| Topic 14
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Interactions between/A Synthesis of A1-A5. Benign vs Serious Violations. |
Week 10
|
| Topic 15
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| The Seven Leading Causes of Regressor Endogeneity. |
Week 10
|
| Topic 15B: Preview of IVE
|
Lecture Slides
| . |
A Preview of IVE: Inconsistency of OLS and Reverse Engineering Consistent Estimator 7 |
Week 10
|
| Topic 16
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Extensions to A2 (Nonlinearities); A4/A3 (infinite/undefined moments); A3 (endogeneity) |
Week 10
|
| Topic 17
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Model Misspecification: DGP vs MAFE/MAFE+ |
Week 11
|
| Topic 18
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| IV Estimation: Identification, Instrument Validity and Relevance, Statistical Properties of IVE. Overidentification. |
Week 11
|
| Topic 19
|
Lecture Slides
|
Slides+Extended Notes
| Estimation of Nonlinear Regression models, with or without Endogeneity. Limited Dependent Variable Models |
Week 11
|
| Topic 20
|
Lecture Slides
Slides+Extended Notes
Next Term (January 2026) Not Examinable
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